Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Live Election Results



4 comments:

Chad Nelson said...

Whoa... did you see all the states Obama won? And I know for a fact that Obama didn't visit three of them (Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee) where Clinton won. Not to suggest it was completely name recognition, but just putting it out there.

O. said...

Hey buddy, I responded earlier too, but I deleted my response, because it was premature sadness. We need to make up ground in California to have hope moving forward thoguh. This is my analysis.

Once all results are I think that this is a fair measure by which to judge how many delegates are given tonight:

Obama loses by 150 Delegates: In good shape considering some favorable states coming up soon

Obama loses 150-250 Delegates: Clinton will be the favorite, but there is room to hope

Obama loses by 250 + : We're done for.

We need California to help us out to make sure we stay in the upper reaches of these three categories.

I'm going to sleep for a couple of hours and wake up again to check results. It's too depressing to keep clicking refresh and not see new numbers. It's 10 am here and I haven't slept all night. Take care buddy.

Chad Nelson said...

I was plugging the percentages into a spreadsheet and assigning each state's national pledged delegates on the %. And as that stands, Clinton get 805 pledged and Obama 17 less (mostly because of his 33% showing in CA).

The two will definitely be within 100 pledged delegates of each other. In my mind, within 50.

Chad Nelson said...

As the CA votes came in over night, Obama's percentage went up to 44%.

He got more delegates and states than Clinton. Those super delegates will start coming Obama's way when they start to realize that Obama is bringing huge new numbers of independants (and even republicans) into the party (an Obama election = a bigger party = an easier win for super delegates in their localities).